Dundalkvs
Castlebar Celtic
COMPLETEDIreland · FAI Cup · 8/15/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dundalk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dundalk 8-0 Castlebar Celtic
Original prediction
Dundalk
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 22:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.1-unified-aggregate-winner.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Dundalk
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
10.4%
Dundalk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DundalkLDDWL
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Castlebar CelticWWW
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 2.67/0.33
BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
DundalkCastlebar Celtic
100.0Attack66.7
66.7Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
88.7Power89.7
1.85xG1.65