Dumbrăviţavs
CSM Reşiţa
COMPLETEDRomania · Liga II · 9/22/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CSM Reşiţa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dumbrăviţa 0-2 CSM Reşiţa
Original prediction
CSM Reşiţa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.27 | 17.1% | 20.6% | 3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.92 | 23.1% | 24.8% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 1.51 | 59.8% | 54.6% | -5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
CSM Reşiţa
Probability
54.6%
Model confidence
54.6%
CSM Reşiţa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00