Goalvio Match Preview
CSM Reşiţa hold the statistical edge against Dumbrăviţa
CSM Reşiţa enter this Liga II meeting with the stronger statistical profile, although the model leaves meaningful room for a draw. The away team has a 42.78% win probability, compared with a 28.41% home-team win probability and a 28.81% draw probability. That edge is supported by the standings: CSM Reşiţa are seventh with 15 points from seven matches, while Dumbrăviţa are 21st with three points. Recent records also point in opposite directions. CSM Reşiţa’s last five produced three wins and two losses, whereas Dumbrăviţa’s last five included two draws and three losses. The ratings gap is substantial, with CSM Reşiţa at 63.8 Power Rating and Dumbrăviţa at 26.7. Expected goals also favour the visitors, at 1.38 against 0.91 for the home team. However, the 28.81% draw probability means CSM Reşiţa are not projected to have complete control. The match has a 45.94% BTTS probability, while Over 2.5 carries a 39.87% probability, pointing toward a relatively restrained scoring outlook.
Key edge
CSM Reşiţa’s attacking projection is the clearest differentiator: the away team is assigned 1.38 expected goals, while Dumbrăviţa are assigned 0.91. That numerical edge aligns with CSM Reşiţa’s 11 goals in seven league matches and Dumbrăviţa’s five.
Biggest risk
The principal uncertainty for CSM Reşiţa is the match’s 28.81% draw probability. Dumbrăviţa’s home record includes two draws from four matches, while the away team’s projected scoring advantage is not overwhelming. The 39.87% Over 2.5 probability also supports a contest in which limited scoring could keep the result close.
Expected match shape
The model points toward a controlled scoring environment, with CSM Reşiţa favoured to create more through an expected-goals figure of 1.38 compared with 0.91 for Dumbrăviţa. The match has a 45.94% BTTS probability and a 39.87% Over 2.5 probability, so a high-scoring game is not the primary statistical expectation.
Match finished
- DumbrăviţaTimeCSM Reşiţa
- Full time
- C. S. GladunSubstitution 585'
- 80'S. VisicSubstitution 3
- 80'C. BarbutSubstitution 2
- A. ButuSubstitution 469'
- R. GunieSubstitution 364'
- D. MucutaSubstitution 264'
- 63'D. BescaYellow Card
- 61'S. VisicNormal Goal
- 51'E. LenghelSubstitution 1
- D. DussautSubstitution 146'
- 45'S. RimoveczYellow Card
- HT
- D. DussautYellow Card40'
- 31'E. LenghelYellow Card
- PEN
- 18'O. SalhiYellow Card