Druzhbavs
Spartak Nalchik
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 1 · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartak Nalchik · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Druzhba 0-0 Spartak Nalchik, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Druzhba 2-1 Spartak Nalchik
Original prediction
Spartak Nalchik
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.57 | 34.7% | 34.0% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 30.3% | 29.7% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.54 | 35.0% | 36.3% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.3 pts
Projected Score
Druzhba 0–0 Spartak Nalchik
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Spartak Nalchik
Probability
36.3%
Model confidence
36.3%
Spartak Nalchik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60