GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 1 · 9/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Druzhba · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Druzhba 0-0 Angust Nazran, with an exact score probability of 22%.

Prediction record

Final result

Druzhba 1-0 Angust Nazran

Original prediction

Druzhba

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8948.3%48.2%-0.1 pts
Draw3.0230.2%31.1%0.9 pts
Away4.2321.6%20.7%-0.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.89 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-0.1 pts

Projected Score

Druzhba 0–0 Angust Nazran

Exact score probability: 22%

Predicted outcome

Druzhba

Probability

48.2%

Model confidence

48.2%

Druzhba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DruzhbaLWDDD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Angust NazranLDDDL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
DruzhbaAngust Nazran
43.3Attack15.8
58.3Defence64.9
45.0Form28.1
50.2Power38.7
1.01xG0.56
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