GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/11/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dorados · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Dorados are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cruz Azul Hidalgo are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (LLDD), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Dorados hold a 35.3-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 32.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.3% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Dorados holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dorados

Probability

53.3%

Model confidence

53.3%

Dorados has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DoradosDDWWL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Cruz Azul HidalgoLLDD

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.50/1.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
DoradosCruz Azul Hidalgo
66.7Attack11.1
66.7Defence55.6
66.7Form22.2
68.0Power32.7
1.82xG0.98
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