Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dorados · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dorados 1-1 Cancún
Original prediction
Dorados
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.42 | 37.7% | 44.1% | 6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.8% | 23.0% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 2.56 | 35.5% | 32.8% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.40 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Dorados
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Dorados has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DoradosWWLLD
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CancúnDWLWW
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
DoradosCancún
71.4Attack61.9
47.6Defence52.4
52.4Form47.6
57.4Power52.1
2.06xG1.64