Doncastervs
Middlesbrough
COMPLETEDEngland · League Cup · 8/25/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Middlesbrough · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Doncaster 1-3 Middlesbrough
Original prediction
Middlesbrough
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Middlesbrough
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Middlesbrough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DoncasterDLDLL
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
MiddlesbroughLWWDL
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
DoncasterMiddlesbrough
50.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence100.0
50.0Form100.0
53.0Power80.3
1.34xG1.40