GGOALVIO

England · League Cup · 8/25/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Middlesbrough · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Doncaster are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Middlesbrough are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Middlesbrough hold a 27.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the League Cup, while Middlesbrough holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Middlesbrough

Probability

37.1%

Model confidence

13.4%

Middlesbrough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DoncasterDLLDD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
MiddlesbroughWDLDL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
DoncasterMiddlesbrough
50.0Attack33.3
50.0Defence100.0
50.0Form100.0
53.0Power80.3
1.34xG1.40
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