Doncastervs
Middlesbrough
SCHEDULEDEngland · League Cup · 8/25/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Middlesbrough · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Doncaster are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Middlesbrough are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Middlesbrough hold a 27.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the League Cup, while Middlesbrough holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Middlesbrough
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
13.4%
Middlesbrough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60