Dobrudzhavs
CSKA Sofia II
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 9/21/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CSKA Sofia II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (15%), 0-1 (13%), 0-3 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dobrudzha 1-3 CSKA Sofia II
Original prediction
CSKA Sofia II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.40 | 26.4% | 14.8% | -11.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 25.8% | 20.2% | -5.6 pts |
| Away | 1.88 | 47.8% | 65.1% | 17.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
17.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–215%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–310%
Predicted outcome
CSKA Sofia II
Probability
65.1%
Model confidence
65.1%
CSKA Sofia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80