Dobrudzhavs
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 10/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Dobrudzha 0-1 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Dobrudzha 0-3 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Original prediction
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.97 | 22.7% | 15.0% | -7.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 27.8% | 23.4% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 1.82 | 49.5% | 61.7% | 12.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.82 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.1 pts
Projected Score
Dobrudzha 0–1 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Probability
61.7%
Model confidence
61.7%
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80