Diriangénvs
Walter Ferretti
COMPLETEDNicaragua · Primera Division · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Diriangén · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Diriangén 2-0 Walter Ferretti, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Diriangén 2-4 Walter Ferretti
Original prediction
Diriangén
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 58.4% | 77.4% | 19.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 22.9% | 14.5% | -8.4 pts |
| Away | 4.86 | 18.7% | 8.2% | -10.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
19.0 pts
Projected Score
Diriangén 2–0 Walter Ferretti
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Diriangén
Probability
77.4%
Model confidence
77.4%
Diriangén has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60