Dinamo Tbilisivs
Spaeri
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Erovnuli Liga · 10/18/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Tbilisi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dinamo Tbilisi 3-1 Spaeri
Original prediction
Dinamo Tbilisi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 55.5% | 63.1% | 7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.2% | 20.6% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 4.45 | 20.3% | 16.3% | -4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Tbilisi
Probability
63.1%
Model confidence
63.1%
Dinamo Tbilisi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20