GGOALVIO

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga · 9/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dinamo Tbilisi · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Dinamo Tbilisi 2-0 Meshakhte, with an exact score probability of 16%.

Prediction record

Final result

Dinamo Tbilisi 0-0 Meshakhte

Original prediction

Dinamo Tbilisi

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.3665.8%73.4%7.6 pts
Draw4.4120.3%17.4%-2.9 pts
Away6.4513.9%9.2%-4.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.41 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

7.6 pts

Projected Score

Dinamo Tbilisi 2–0 Meshakhte

Exact score probability: 16%

Predicted outcome

Dinamo Tbilisi

Probability

73.4%

Model confidence

73.4%

Dinamo Tbilisi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Dinamo TbilisiDWLWL

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
MeshakhteDWLLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Dinamo TbilisiMeshakhte
52.2Attack26.4
60.9Defence41.7
55.1Form20.8
57.4Power32.4
2.12xG0.53
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