Dinamo Tbilisivs
Gagra
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Erovnuli Liga · 9/14/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Tbilisi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Dinamo Tbilisi 1-0 Gagra, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Dinamo Tbilisi 4-0 Gagra
Original prediction
Dinamo Tbilisi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 55.4% | 57.8% | 2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.6% | 25.1% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 4.75 | 18.9% | 17.1% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.4 pts
Projected Score
Dinamo Tbilisi 1–0 Gagra
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Tbilisi
Probability
57.8%
Model confidence
57.8%
Dinamo Tbilisi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Dinamo TbilisiDDWLW
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
GagraDLWDL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Dinamo TbilisiGagra
50.0Attack32.0
62.5Defence57.3
54.2Form37.3
56.9Power44.6
1.43xG0.63