Dinamo Batumivs
Dinamo Tbilisi
COMPLETEDGeorgia · Erovnuli Liga · 10/11/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Batumi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Dinamo Batumi 1-0 Dinamo Tbilisi
Original prediction
Dinamo Batumi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 41.0% | 38.4% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.2% | 24.8% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 32.8% | 36.9% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Batumi
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Dinamo Batumi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80