GGOALVIO

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga · 10/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dila · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Dila 0-2 FC Iberia 1999

Original prediction

Dila

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.5934.7%36.7%2.0 pts
Draw3.0629.4%27.9%-1.5 pts
Away2.5035.9%35.4%-0.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–013%
  3. 3.1–012%

Predicted outcome

Dila

Probability

36.7%

Model confidence

36.7%

Dila has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DilaLWLDW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
FC Iberia 1999LWLWW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DilaFC Iberia 1999
46.4Attack47.6
60.7Defence63.1
47.6Form58.3
53.0Power58.3
1.08xG1.05
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