GGOALVIO

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga · 9/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dila · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Dila 2-2 Dinamo Batumi

Original prediction

Dila

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.5535.4%38.7%3.3 pts
Draw3.1228.9%27.2%-1.7 pts
Away2.5335.6%34.1%-1.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.12 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–012%
  3. 3.1–011%

Predicted outcome

Dila

Probability

38.7%

Model confidence

38.7%

Dila has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DilaWWLWD

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Dinamo BatumiWWWWW

GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
DilaDinamo Batumi
43.1Attack54.7
65.3Defence57.3
50.0Form57.3
54.4Power57.5
1.17xG1.05
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