GGOALVIO

Derio logoDeriovsLagun Onak logoLagun Onak

COMPLETED

Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 · 10/24/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Derio · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Derio 2-1 Lagun Onak

Original prediction

Derio

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–19%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.2–27%

Predicted outcome

Derio

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Derio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DerioLDWWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Lagun OnakLLLWW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DerioLagun Onak
66.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
80.3Power80.3
2.13xG1.72
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