Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Norwich · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Norwich
Probability
49.5%
Model confidence
49.5%
Norwich has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DerbyDLLLW
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
NorwichLLLWW
GF 11 · GA 15 · avg 2.20/3.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
DerbyNorwich
29.2Attack66.7
41.7Defence29.2
20.8Form37.5
33.0Power45.3
1.34xG2.00