Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lincoln · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Derby 1-2 Lincoln
Original prediction
Lincoln
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:16 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.1-unified-aggregate-winner.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Lincoln
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
14.2%
Lincoln has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DerbyDLWLL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
LincolnLWLLW
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
DerbyLincoln
0.0Attack22.2
33.3Defence88.9
0.0Form44.4
15.3Power53.1
1.14xG1.31