Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bolton · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 20:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Bolton
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Bolton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DerbyDLLLW
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BoltonWWLLL
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
DerbyBolton
29.2Attack45.8
41.7Defence37.5
20.8Form41.7
33.0Power44.3
1.21xG1.47