Deportivo Maldonadovs
Wanderers
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 9/5/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Maldonado · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Maldonado 2-0 Wanderers
Original prediction
Deportivo Maldonado
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 46.0% | 53.7% | 7.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.5% | 25.6% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 3.59 | 25.5% | 20.7% | -4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Maldonado
Probability
53.7%
Model confidence
53.7%
Deportivo Maldonado has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40