Deportivo Maldonadovs
Penarol
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 8/22/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Penarol · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Maldonado 0-0 Penarol
Original prediction
Penarol
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Penarol
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Penarol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Deportivo MaldonadoWDDLD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
PenarolWWWWD
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Deportivo MaldonadoPenarol
55.6Attack58.3
66.7Defence70.8
62.5Form68.1
63.0Power66.6
1.03xG1.07