Deportivo MaldonadovsPenarol

Deportivo Maldonado are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Penarol are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Penarol hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (61.9 v 65.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the Primera División, while Penarol holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.