Deportivo Maldonadovs
Liverpool Montevideo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 10/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Maldonado · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Deportivo Maldonado 0-0 Liverpool Montevideo, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Maldonado 1-1 Liverpool Montevideo
Original prediction
Deportivo Maldonado
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.38 | 38.2% | 43.9% | 5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 29.3% | 29.7% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.80 | 32.5% | 26.4% | -6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.10 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.7 pts
Projected Score
Deportivo Maldonado 0–0 Liverpool Montevideo
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Maldonado
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Deportivo Maldonado has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20