Deportivo Maldonadovs
Albion FC
COMPLETEDUruguay · Copa Uruguay · 10/15/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Maldonado · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportivo Maldonado 4-1 Albion FC
Original prediction
Deportivo Maldonado
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 46.7% | 48.6% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 29.2% | 27.4% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.76 | 24.1% | 24.0% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Maldonado
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Deportivo Maldonado has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40