Deportes Santa Cruzvs
O'Higgins
COMPLETEDChile · Copa Chile · 9/27/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
O'Higgins · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportes Santa Cruz 1-3 O'Higgins
Original prediction
O'Higgins
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.43 | 26.6% | 35.7% | 9.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.4% | 25.8% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.02 | 45.0% | 38.5% | -6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
O'Higgins
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
O'Higgins has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40