Deportes Iquiquevs
Antofagasta
COMPLETEDChile · Copa Chile · 9/23/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Antofagasta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Deportes Iquique 1-1 Antofagasta
Original prediction
Antofagasta
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.52 | 36.2% | 36.4% | 0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 28.9% | 26.6% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 2.61 | 34.9% | 37.0% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.15 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Antofagasta
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Antofagasta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00