Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dekani · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Dekani 1-0 Brežice, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Dekani 0-0 Brežice
Original prediction
Dekani
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 52.9% | 49.6% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.0% | 28.8% | 3.8 pts |
| Away | 4.04 | 22.1% | 21.6% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.58 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.2 pts
Projected Score
Dekani 1–0 Brežice
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Dekani
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
Dekani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DekaniLWLWW
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
BrežiceWWDDL
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
DekaniBrežice
21.2Attack36.4
78.8Defence36.4
45.5Form18.2
50.4Power33.1
1.16xG0.51