Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rudar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.40 | 37.5% | 26.0% | -11.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.4% | 24.4% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 2.57 | 35.0% | 49.7% | 14.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Rudar
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
Rudar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PrimorjeLDDDL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
RudarWLLWW
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PrimorjeRudar
33.3Attack70.0
48.5Defence50.0
30.3Form60.0
40.0Power60.0
1.01xG2.11