Defensor Sportingvs
Wanderers
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Defensor Sporting are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Wanderers are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Wanderers hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (49.1 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Primera División, favouring a draw with 23.6% confidence, a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
23.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20