Defensor Sportingvs
Atletico Torque
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 8/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atletico Torque · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Defensor Sporting 0-0 Atletico Torque, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Defensor Sporting 1-3 Atletico Torque
Original prediction
Atletico Torque
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.13 | 29.1% | 24.0% | -5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.09 | 29.5% | 29.7% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 41.3% | 46.3% | 5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.0 pts
Projected Score
Defensor Sporting 0–0 Atletico Torque
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Atletico Torque
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
Atletico Torque has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80