DC Unitedvs
FC Cincinnati
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 10/24/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Cincinnati · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (8%), 1-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
DC United 0-2 FC Cincinnati
Original prediction
FC Cincinnati
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.77 | 33.8% | 35.0% | 1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.92 | 23.9% | 26.5% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 42.3% | 38.5% | -3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–28%
- 2.1–27%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
FC Cincinnati
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
FC Cincinnati has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00