Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wanderers · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Danubio 0-0 Wanderers, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Danubio 1-1 Wanderers
Original prediction
Wanderers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 19 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 42.1% | 30.9% | -11.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 29.4% | 29.6% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.20 | 28.5% | 39.5% | 11.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.10 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.0 pts
Projected Score
Danubio 0–0 Wanderers
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Wanderers
Probability
39.5%
Model confidence
39.5%
Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DanubioDLLLW
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
WanderersDLLDW
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
DanubioWanderers
27.4Attack41.4
56.0Defence55.2
29.8Form49.4
39.7Power50.0
0.76xG1.03