GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 8/23/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Racing Montevideo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Danubio are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Racing Montevideo are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Racing Montevideo hold an 18.8-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 22.2% in the Primera División, while Racing Montevideo holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Racing Montevideo

Probability

47.3%

Model confidence

22.2%

Racing Montevideo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

DanubioDLDLD

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Racing MontevideoWDWLD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
DanubioRacing Montevideo
30.6Attack42.0
56.9Defence72.5
31.9Form60.9
41.8Power60.6
0.51xG1.05
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