Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Danubio 0-0 Cerro, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Danubio 0-1 Cerro
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 08:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5-unified-score-distribution.
Projected Score
Danubio 0–0 Cerro
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
34.5%
Model confidence
19.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DanubioDLDDD
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
CerroLWWLL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
DanubioCerro
33.3Attack21.2
54.5Defence48.5
33.3Form28.8
42.3Power36.0
1.12xG0.61