Danubiovs
Central Espanol
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 10/18/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Danubio 0-0 Central Espanol, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Danubio 1-0 Central Espanol
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 12:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.96 | 46.6% | 36.4% | -10.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.5% | 31.5% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 3.67 | 24.9% | 32.1% | 7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.0 pts
Projected Score
Danubio 0–0 Central Espanol
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.5%
Model confidence
36.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
DanubioWLWLD
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Central EspanolLLLLL
GF 2 · GA 16 · avg 0.40/3.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
DanubioCentral Espanol
27.1Attack33.3
57.3Defence55.2
30.2Form39.6
40.3Power44.7
0.77xG0.79