D. Puerto Monttvs
Nublense
COMPLETEDChile · Copa Chile · 9/22/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nublense · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
D. Puerto Montt 2-0 Nublense
Original prediction
Nublense
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.87 | 23.6% | 32.0% | 8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.9% | 28.3% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 1.93 | 47.4% | 39.8% | -7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Nublense
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Nublense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80