Cumbernauld Coltsvs
St. Mirren U21
COMPLETEDScotland · Challenge Cup · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
St. Mirren U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cumbernauld Colts 2-4 St. Mirren U21
Original prediction
St. Mirren U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.63 | 24.9% | 24.3% | -0.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.27 | 21.2% | 21.9% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 1.68 | 53.9% | 53.8% | -0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.68 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
St. Mirren U21
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
St. Mirren U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00