GGOALVIO

Scotland · Challenge Cup · 8/25/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kilmarnock II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Cumbernauld Colts are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Kilmarnock II are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Kilmarnock II hold an 18.0-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the Challenge Cup, while Kilmarnock II holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kilmarnock II

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

10.9%

Kilmarnock II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Cumbernauld ColtsLDLLW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kilmarnock IILLLLL

GF 3 · GA 18 · avg 0.60/3.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Cumbernauld ColtsKilmarnock II
50.0Attack66.7
50.0Defence66.7
50.0Form66.7
50.0Power68.0
1.63xG1.74
View match centre →