Cumbernauld Coltsvs
Kelty Hearts
COMPLETEDScotland · Challenge Cup · 9/8/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kelty Hearts · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cumbernauld Colts 0-3 Kelty Hearts
Original prediction
Kelty Hearts
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.88 | 18.5% | 29.2% | 10.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.15 | 21.8% | 24.1% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 1.51 | 59.7% | 46.7% | -13.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.51 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Kelty Hearts
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Kelty Hearts has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40