Cumbayávs
22 de Julio
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro Serie B · 10/15/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cumbayá · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Cumbayá 1-0 22 de Julio, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Cumbayá 7-1 22 de Julio
Original prediction
Cumbayá
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 13:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.08 | 83.1% | 75.3% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 8.24 | 10.9% | 17.4% | 6.6 pts |
| Away | 14.80 | 6.0% | 7.3% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.08 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.8 pts
Projected Score
Cumbayá 1–0 22 de Julio
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Cumbayá
Probability
75.3%
Model confidence
75.3%
Cumbayá has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CumbayáDLWWL
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
22 de JulioLLDLL
GF 7 · GA 21 · avg 1.40/4.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Cumbayá22 de Julio
39.1Attack19.5
65.5Defence33.3
39.1Form18.4
48.0Power27.2
1.78xG0.42