CSKA Sofia IIvs
Spartak Pleven
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 9/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CSKA Sofia II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CSKA Sofia II 5-1 Spartak Pleven
Original prediction
CSKA Sofia II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 59.6% | 56.6% | -3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 23.7% | 24.6% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 5.37 | 16.7% | 18.9% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.2–013%
- 3.1–112%
Predicted outcome
CSKA Sofia II
Probability
56.6%
Model confidence
56.6%
CSKA Sofia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80