CSKA Sofia IIvs
Montana
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 9/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CSKA Sofia II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
CSKA Sofia II 4-0 Montana
Original prediction
CSKA Sofia II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 51.1% | 47.9% | -3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.39 | 26.5% | 26.8% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 4.00 | 22.4% | 25.3% | 2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
CSKA Sofia II
Probability
47.9%
Model confidence
47.9%
CSKA Sofia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20