Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cruzeiro · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cruzeiro 3-1 Mirassol
Original prediction
Cruzeiro
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.1-unified-aggregate-winner.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Cruzeiro
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
13.9%
Cruzeiro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CruzeiroWDWLW
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
MirassolLDWDW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
CruzeiroMirassol
45.5Attack38.1
53.0Defence52.4
50.0Form36.5
51.3Power45.3
1.42xG0.96