Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Flamengo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
13%
MediumconfidenceCruzeiro are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Flamengo are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and flamengo hold a 14.8-point power-rating edge (51.3 v 66.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely result in the Serie A, favouring Flamengo with 13.2% confidence, a 46% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Flamengo
Probability
56.4%
Model confidence
13.2%
Flamengo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CruzeiroWWDWL
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
FlamengoWDDWW
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CruzeiroFlamengo
45.5Attack61.9
53.0Defence71.4
50.0Form66.7
51.3Power66.2
0.80xG1.66