Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bahia · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Bahia
Probability
37.6%
Model confidence
37.6%
Bahia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CruzeiroWLWLL
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
BahiaLWWWW
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CruzeiroBahia
50.0Attack51.2
52.4Defence58.3
53.6Form54.8
53.8Power56.8
1.33xG1.34