Cruz Azul HidalgovsPiratas

Cruz Azul Hidalgo are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (LLDD), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Piratas are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (LWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Piratas hold a 26.2-point power-rating edge (32.7 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Piratas holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.