Cruz Azul Hidalgovs
Mineros de Zacatecas
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mineros de Zacatecas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cruz Azul Hidalgo 2-1 Mineros de Zacatecas
Original prediction
Mineros de Zacatecas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 18:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.82 | 32.6% | 28.8% | -3.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.64 | 25.3% | 21.5% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 2.19 | 42.1% | 49.7% | 7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Mineros de Zacatecas
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
49.7%
Mineros de Zacatecas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40