Criciumavs
Operario-PR
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 9/22/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Criciuma · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Criciuma 0-0 Operario-PR, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Criciuma 0-2 Operario-PR
Original prediction
Criciuma
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 16:35 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 48.2% | 41.9% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 29.4% | 30.6% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 4.16 | 22.4% | 27.5% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.3 pts
Projected Score
Criciuma 0–0 Operario-PR
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Criciuma
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Criciuma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CriciumaLLWLL
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Operario-PRDWWDD
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CriciumaOperario-PR
33.3Attack46.4
70.2Defence57.1
56.0Form52.4
55.5Power53.6
0.93xG0.75