Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Crewe · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Crewe 0-0 Rochdale, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Crewe 3-2 Rochdale
Original prediction
Crewe
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 50.4% | 51.8% | 1.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 26.1% | 29.2% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 3.95 | 23.5% | 19.0% | -4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.84 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Projected Score
Crewe 0–0 Rochdale
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Crewe
Probability
51.8%
Model confidence
51.8%
Crewe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CreweWDWDW
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
RochdaleDLWWD
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CreweRochdale
40.0Attack36.7
76.7Defence60.0
60.0Form46.7
61.8Power49.1
1.06xG0.50